Maryland Real Estate Values
http://dealeappraiser.com
Maryland Real Estate Values

Deale Appraiser Anne Arundel County Home Values

For the first quarter of 2011 in Anne Arundel County Maryland there were 1,518 residential real estate transactions.  Of these sales, 30% were considered to be either REO foreclosure or short sales.

This statistic is in-line with data reported by Housing IntelligencePro that Nationally, bank-owned real estate closings accounted for almost 32% of all settlements in the first quarter

Deale Appraiser

This just in... The MRIS reports that the overall median sale price for homes in Anne Arundel County, Maryland were down 4.68% in 2010.  Strangely, most of the weakness was in detached sales and not attached sales which runs contrary to past conventional real estate wisdom.

However, on the brighter side, the total number of sales was up slightly at 2.3%.


Please email me and I will send you the report.



Email John Marcinik

Deale Appraiser 1/22/2011

My list for what's happening for Real Estate for 2011.

Out for 2011

* Expensive bathroom spa bathtubs

* Large rear yards

* Formal Living Rooms and dark wasted space hallways

* Expensive to heat McMansions

* Granite kitchen Counters



In for 2011


* Large two people Showers

* Small yards, but room for composite decks and conversation fire pits.

* Open floorplans, great rooms, country kitchens.

* Larger TV & computer space in Kitchen, tankless hot water heaters, passive solar.

* Quartz and concrete kitchen counter tops






Deale Appraiser Property Values Update October 1, 2010

I analyzed home sales in the $200K-$600K price range for the zip code areas of Deale, Shady Side, Churchton, West River and Tracys Landing, Maryland for the first 9 months of 2010.

The number of sales remained stable with 79 home sales in the last 9 months compared with 80 for same 9 month time period 1 year ago.  The median sale price has declined in the time period from $316,700 to $305,000, a drop of 3.7%.

The median marketing time has also declined from 112 days to 93 days.


There are currently 107 active listings for sale in this marketing area. Based on the absorption rate for this time period, this reflects over a 12 month supply of homes
.

Obama's Health Care will kill Real Estate values. 12/21/2009.

We will experience a 10-15% drop in home values nationwide in 2010.

I sort of laughed when a local mortgage broker was suggesting we should pull all the equity we could out of out houses last fall while there was still time, unfortunately he was right.
   With the new Obama health care plan, most people will have 10-12% less income to qualify for mortgages and home ownership. This translates into less home purchasing power.

Home values will track based on the demand placed on them.  If there is less money to purchase, home prices will decline to a new balance of buyers and sellers.  I expect a drop in home prices of 10-15% next year and 25% for the next three years of the health care implementation.

Why the continued drop in the following years?  Look at the Reagan Tax reform of 1986.  What we learned with that exercise that non-similar real estate may affect other types of real estate.   The decline in multi-family home prices adversely affected single family homes.  Even the current slide in home values from the 2006 peaks began with a decline in vacation rentals and second homes.  With the loss of purchasing power, kiss the starter market goodbye again. In 2006, a starter home was about $300K in Maryland Metro area.  Now it's $200K or less, expect it to drop to $150K in the next 2 years. 

If you don't have equity in the starter homes, how can to buy up to a larger home?
What can you do?  Nothing, pull your equity and buy gold appears to be the only bunker methodology left.  Either that or get zero percent on your T-bills.

The big problem with this health care bill is not if it is good or bad as far as saving money or stopping the rise in health care costs.  It's the quick implementation of this huge social program.
It will shock the real estate market.  Uncertainty of what will happen will create fear, and fear in the real estate market is like yelling fire in a crowded movie theater.

The Deale Appraiser Refi now and lose $450 October 25, 2009

Be careful refinancing your existing mortgage. You can easily lose $450 and still not get a new loan.  How do you ask?  It all has to do with the new HVCC mortgage law that Congress passed in 2009.

With this new government policy for many loans, you or your loan officer can not choose the best appraiser to appraise your property.  The loan officer must hire a go-between Appraisal Management Company (AMC) to select an appraiser.  Just ask any Realtor of the horror stories of this new system.   Homewowners have called me saying that a Baltimore appraiser just appraised their home for $400K less than they paid for it 8 months ago.

Where do you lose the $450?  In many cases that is the cost of the Appraisal process.  The AMC may get $250 of that amount and the appraiser may get $200.  Previously, an appraisal may have cost $350 which all went to the appraiser.  So the cost has gone up and the service has gone down.  When your loan is not approved because of a poorly performed appraisal, you have lost your $450.

How many times does this happen?  The majority of the time.  In my interviews with several large company loan officers, a successful refi completion rate was only about 15-20% of the time.

Need advice?  call me at John Marcinik @ 301-261-9325

South County Home Values (07/28/2008)

Home values in Southern Anne Arundel County (South County) continue to decline.  I did an analysis of 11 zip code areas of South County.  Mostly the neighborhoods South of Route 214, but not including Davidsonville or Edgewater.

Here are the results.

For the first half of 2008 there were 72 homes sales in the $200K-$700K price range with and average sales price of $377K

For the last half of 2007 for the same price range there were 104 homes sales with an average sales price of $399K.

For the same 6 month period last year there were 114 sales with a $406K average price.


Facts noted:

The average home price (in this price range) has dropped in this area an average of 5.5% in the last six months.
The average home price (in this price range) has dropped in this area an average of 7% since last year.


Deale Appraiser

The history of home sales in Deale, MD.      7/11/2008

All you ever read anymore is doom and gloom about the Real Estate Market (including on this blog).  Just how bad is it? For grins I have researched the total number of home sales for the past years in Deale, MarylandSome interesting numbers have popped out.

1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008

  36         36           40         36          33         50            51           29          36        12*

Historically, the most frequently occurring number of home sales per year in Deale, MD is 36.  This real estate market wasn’t that hot way back in 1999 & 2000 yet Deale had 36 home sales in both years.  Like everywhere else we had banner years in 2004 & 2005 with 50 & 51 home sales respectively.  Last year was reported to be a terrible year for home sales and prices, yet there were 36 home sales in Deale.

*For 2008, we’ve only have 12 closed sales so far which is behind the 18 sales we had at this time in 2007, so maybe this year’s total will be the lowest in the past 10 years or so.

My prediction:

It’s an election year.  For home sales, the rest of 2008 should be flat or stable.  It doesn’t really matter who gets in the White House in November, it’s just the uncertainty of it that makes the buying public freeze their purchasing.  After February of 2009 expect home prices to stop their slide and start to reverse.  I would predict an increase of 4% in home prices for all of 2009.

 

           


 
 

Deale Appraiser

Deale, MD Home sales the latest 4/08/2008

The real estate market in Deale is starting to show some signs of recovery at some price ranges.  For the $200K-$600K price range, home sales were up slightly from 29 sales in the last 365 days compared with 21 sales, 2 years ago.

The average marketing time improved from 95 days 2 years ago to 91 days last year.  The average sales price in this price range of homes was $376K last year.  This is slightly down from 2 years ago when the average sales price was $379K.

Currently there are 18 active listing on the market priced from $260K to $589K.  This translates into less than 1 years home inventory, which is an improvement over past quarters.

 

 




Tantallon Homes Values 4/08/2008

Tantallon Home sales  April 08, 2008

The volume of home sales in the Tantallon marketing area dropped over 50% in the past year, from 16 sales (priced from $450K to $600K) to just 7 sales in the past 365 days.  The average sales price also dropped from $636K to $507K in the same time period.

The average marketing time for homes in this price range has spiked from an average of 81 days, 2 years ago to an average of 219 days last year.

The supply of homes in the $450K to $600K price range shows 24 active sales.  This would translate as over a  three year supply of homes at the current absorption rates.



Email John Marcinik